Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.152844 2.463425 2.803520 3.203664 3.661732 4.169932 4.776831
2024-12-15 1.667671 2.085518 2.585229 3.227326 4.031378 5.006199 6.279882
2024-12-22 1.395563 1.856224 2.441909 3.242100 4.308828 5.684803 7.599501
2024-12-29 1.211873 1.695074 2.340892 3.268655 4.570481 6.337233 8.926264
2025-01-05 1.043417 1.524188 2.195066 3.201564 4.677896 6.771604 9.980625
2025-01-12 0.908123 1.378931 2.061680 3.126491 4.751549 7.148779 10.973919
2025-01-19 0.791833 1.245457 1.926727 3.027440 4.769151 7.432498 11.841479
2025-01-26 0.762999 1.240472 1.981539 3.219327 5.245760 8.451211 13.944912
2025-02-02 0.736559 1.235122 2.033105 3.408104 5.732155 9.527003 16.246199
2025-02-09 0.702624 1.212982 2.053815 3.545720 6.144271 10.516205 18.498722
2025-02-16 0.657635 1.166875 2.029076 3.601795 6.419966 11.297408 20.465633
2025-02-23 0.598079 1.089026 1.941942 3.538924 6.478403 11.703741 21.800099
2025-03-02 0.552978 1.033559 1.890464 3.537868 6.653568 12.344145 23.650358
2025-03-09 0.516768 0.990765 1.857614 3.567607 6.888421 13.115979 25.830738
2025-03-16 0.482568 0.948048 1.820259 3.583901 7.097105 13.854875 28.018512
2025-03-23 0.453418 0.911990 1.791638 3.613293 7.332293 14.663637 30.423945
2025-03-30 0.415179 0.854057 1.714987 3.539037 7.351442 15.045475 31.991947
2025-04-06 0.379895 0.798616 1.637962 3.455948 7.342984 15.367887 33.463568
2025-04-13 0.345450 0.741573 1.552365 3.346325 7.267122 15.541466 34.628889
2025-04-20 0.344724 0.755871 1.615394 3.558696 7.901494 17.272907 39.396145
2025-04-27 0.343048 0.767870 1.674432 3.767642 8.547979 19.089978 44.543519
2025-05-04 0.336152 0.767596 1.706795 3.919970 9.081561 20.706391 49.394331
2025-05-11 0.322289 0.750234 1.699868 3.982041 9.413596 21.897597 53.363306